Fantasy Matchup Edge has a proper home now.
We’ve been publishing projection boards, model reviews and the odd spreadsheet for a while. The new site turns that into something much more useful: a place where you can actually explore the model, sort the projections, dig into individual players and move between FPL and Sorare without waiting for us to post another graphic.
This is a soft launch, so there is more coming. But the core tools are live, the weekly data pipeline is feeding them, and there is already plenty to play with.
Start with the live player projections
The main board on the homepage is the quickest way into FME. Switch between FPL and Sorare, search for any player, filter by team or position, sort every important metric and move between recent starters and the full IF-STARTS player pool.
For FPL, that includes projected points, haul probabilities, P90 ceiling, DEFCON probability, ownership, price and value. For Sorare, you can see projected score, 60+/70+/80+ probabilities, All-Around, Decisive score and expected decisive actions.
Click a player and go underneath the headline number
Every projection assumes the player starts. Click anywhere on a player row and the profile drawer opens with the headline fantasy outputs, the model’s WHY explanation where available, and the projected action profile underneath.
That action layer is important to what we’re trying to build. FME does not just take a recent fantasy average and nudge it up or down because the opponent looks easy. The model projects the football actions that create the score — shots, entries, tackles, interceptions, clearances, passing and more — inside the specific matchup.
Next 5 fixture difficulty — but not the usual version
We’ve also rebuilt the familiar fixture ticker. Instead of assigning one generic colour to every player on a team, FME rates fixture opportunity separately for DEF, MID and FWD.
Then, underneath that, the page goes to the player level and ranks individual Next 5 projections across the same run of fixtures. That matters because two teammates can face exactly the same opponent and still have very different fantasy matchups.
There are already dedicated FPL tools beyond projected points
The launch version also includes Clean Sheet Odds, DEFCON Predictions and a straightforward FPL Fixtures page.
The DEFCON page is particularly useful if you want to separate the defensive workload from the overall FPL score. It combines the model’s DEFCON probability with projected CBIT/CBIRT workload and clean-sheet context rather than treating defensive contribution points as an afterthought.
Sorare gets the same deeper treatment
Our Sorare Projections page uses the same underlying matchup model but scores the simulations for Sorare. The full board includes projected score, upside probabilities, P90, All-Around, Decisive score and expected decisive actions, with the same clickable player profiles and projected actions underneath.
And there is more coming
This is not the finished version of FME. It is the point where the core site is useful enough to put in front of people.
- FPL Stats is already previewed on the site and will become a full player database.
- Team Planner, Player Comparison and Captain Picks are planned additions.
- Sorare Scores, Stats and a Lineup Builder are on the roadmap.
- Player pages, more matchup context and more ways to surface the WHY behind a projection will follow.
The other big improvement is less visible: the site is now being built around a repeatable weekly data handoff. The intention is that a fresh Gameweek projection run updates the same tools rather than forcing us to rebuild pages manually every week.
Where to start
If you play FPL, start with Predicted Points and Fixture Difficulty — Next 5. If you play Sorare, head straight to Sorare Projections. If you want to understand what is actually happening underneath the numbers, read How Our Model Works.
And if something looks odd, confusing or broken, tell us. This is the soft launch. We’d much rather fix the rough edges now than pretend there aren’t any.