Fantasy Matchup Edge's Sorare projections are built from the player and the matchup — not simply from L5 form, a team-level fixture rating or a broad “defence versus position” average. We model how each player actually produces Sorare points, using their action profile and role, then compare it with the actions their opponent tends to allow to similar roles and channels in the expected match environment.
From there, every Premier League fixture is simulated 100,000 times and each player's Sorare score is rebuilt from the actions and decisive events generated inside those match outcomes. The result is a player-specific projection, a Gameweek ranking and a distribution of outcomes showing expected score, upside, All-Around production and decisive contribution.
Start with projected Sorare outcomes, then switch lenses to see the attacking, creative and defensive actions underneath the score.
GW7 · validated
IF PLAYER STARTS
Overview: Sorare score, upside and the split between All-Around and decisive production. The action lenses keep the same overall projection and expose different parts of the projected player profile.
224 players shownClick any player row for WHY + the full projected action profile. Wide action views can be scrolled sideways.
Fixture
Profile
1
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Leeds (H)
79.7
51.2%
69.2%
85.4%
100
21.3
50.5
0.81
4
Manchester City FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Ipswich Town (H)
69.0
31.3%
46.7%
64.3%
100
16.5
52.5
0.89
5
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Ipswich Town (H)
67.4
32.1%
45.1%
60.1%
100
2.3
58.6
1.29
7
Manchester City FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Ipswich Town (H)
66.4
24.9%
40.8%
60.3%
95.0
14.8
46.9
0.57
8
Everton FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Chelsea (H)
65.5
19.4%
36.6%
60.5%
88.7
24.5
40.9
0.27
13
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Nott'm Forest (H)
63.4
12.9%
29.1%
56.4%
82.8
19.3
42.1
0.33
16
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Chelsea (H)
62.1
13.6%
28.5%
51.6%
83.7
21.2
44.8
0.48
17
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Ipswich Town (H)
61.6
12.8%
27.4%
50.7%
82.9
28.4
38.7
0.20
18
Aston Villa FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Newcastle (H)
61.6
18.9%
31.6%
48.8%
91.0
7.3
48.4
0.65
19
Liverpool FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Brentford (H)
61.5
12.3%
26.2%
49.4%
82.5
21.7
38.9
0.21
20
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Crystal Palace (H)
61.4
10.0%
23.8%
50.5%
80.0
27.0
38.2
0.16
21
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man Utd (H)
60.9
13.4%
27.5%
48.9%
83.6
17.8
48.8
0.68
22
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Crystal Palace (H)
60.9
14.3%
27.8%
47.8%
84.9
11.4
42.9
0.38
24
Liverpool FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Brentford (H)
60.7
15.5%
28.6%
47.8%
86.3
15.6
43.7
0.43
26
Manchester United FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Leeds (H)
60.6
11.1%
24.9%
48.4%
81.2
23.0
38.3
0.15
27
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Ipswich Town (H)
60.4
13.7%
27.4%
47.9%
84.1
25.6
40.9
0.28
28
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Chelsea (H)
60.3
15.5%
28.2%
46.2%
86.7
13.6
44.5
0.45
29
Arsenal FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Nott'm Forest (H)
60.3
20.7%
32.5%
47.6%
94.1
20.6
53.4
0.96
30
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Coventry City (H)
60.3
15.7%
28.7%
47.1%
86.6
10.0
45.2
0.48
32
Aston Villa FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Newcastle (H)
60.1
14.5%
27.2%
45.9%
85.6
7.0
43.7
0.41
33
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Nott'm Forest (H)
60.0
16.1%
28.7%
46.2%
87.4
17.2
46.6
0.55
34
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
59.9
9.8%
22.9%
46.6%
79.8
17.1
36.9
0.13
35
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
MID
Bournemouth (H)
59.8
10.5%
23.8%
46.2%
80.6
21.9
38.9
0.18
36
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Crystal Palace (H)
59.7
11.9%
24.7%
45.5%
82.1
22.1
41.5
0.32
37
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Chelsea (H)
59.5
8.9%
21.3%
44.6%
78.8
18.7
40.0
0.24
39
Liverpool FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Brentford (H)
59.5
14.1%
26.6%
45.0%
85.0
9.8
44.6
0.44
40
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 3/6 starts
DEF
Coventry City (H)
59.5
10.1%
23.0%
45.6%
80.1
19.6
38.7
0.17
41
Leeds United FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Man Utd (H)
59.4
20.0%
30.7%
45.3%
94.2
7.4
52.4
0.89
44
Chelsea FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Everton (H)
59.2
18.4%
29.4%
44.5%
91.7
6.2
51.8
0.85
45
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Hull City (H)
59.1
6.7%
19.3%
44.9%
76.4
19.9
38.9
0.20
46
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Coventry City (H)
59.1
16.7%
28.1%
44.4%
88.9
3.6
49.3
0.71
50
Fulham FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Hull City (H)
58.9
6.1%
18.7%
44.6%
75.9
15.1
40.5
0.25
52
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Nott'm Forest (H)
58.7
17.1%
28.1%
43.6%
89.8
0.2
50.7
0.78
54
Fulham FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Hull City (H)
58.5
9.6%
21.5%
42.4%
79.5
18.5
38.5
0.17
55
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Crystal Palace (H)
58.3
7.8%
19.2%
41.7%
77.4
21.5
38.3
0.20
57
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Ipswich Town (H)
58.2
6.8%
17.8%
41.0%
76.3
19.4
38.6
0.18
59
Manchester City FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Ipswich Town (H)
57.9
8.5%
20.2%
40.6%
78.1
20.0
40.6
0.27
61
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
DEF
Sunderland (H)
57.7
10.1%
21.7%
41.1%
80.1
15.3
42.0
0.33
62
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Coventry City (H)
57.6
9.0%
20.5%
40.5%
78.9
23.3
40.0
0.26
66
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Hull City (H)
57.1
9.9%
20.9%
38.4%
79.9
19.3
41.8
0.31
71
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Leeds (H)
56.8
9.2%
20.2%
38.8%
79.0
20.9
40.7
0.27
73
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Crystal Palace (H)
56.8
12.7%
23.1%
39.3%
83.5
12.2
46.4
0.57
74
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
DEF
Sunderland (H)
56.7
7.0%
18.2%
39.4%
76.5
18.8
39.6
0.25
78
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Crystal Palace (H)
56.2
8.9%
19.5%
37.5%
78.6
18.2
40.9
0.27
79
Manchester City FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Ipswich Town (H)
56.2
8.4%
19.0%
37.0%
78.1
16.5
41.1
0.31
82
Chelsea FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Everton (H)
56.0
10.3%
20.8%
37.2%
80.4
9.7
43.4
0.42
83
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Nott'm Forest (H)
56.0
7.4%
17.7%
35.6%
76.8
21.4
39.1
0.19
85
Arsenal FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Nott'm Forest (H)
55.3
5.7%
14.9%
33.8%
74.4
20.4
37.3
0.13
86
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Ipswich Town (H)
55.3
12.2%
22.3%
37.6%
83.1
6.7
46.4
0.55
89
Nottingham Forest FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
55.0
7.3%
16.9%
34.2%
76.4
7.6
39.6
0.21
91
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
MID
Sunderland (H)
54.9
10.4%
20.3%
35.5%
80.7
10.4
43.7
0.40
93
Crystal Palace FC · 3/6 starts
GK
Brighton (H)
54.9
3.5%
11.6%
31.1%
71.4
12.4
37.4
0.15
94
Liverpool FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Brentford (H)
54.9
8.0%
17.7%
34.2%
77.3
12.2
40.9
0.26
95
Coventry City FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Spurs (H)
54.8
6.6%
15.8%
33.1%
75.4
19.2
40.1
0.27
96
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Aston Villa (H)
54.7
4.7%
13.4%
32.1%
73.0
20.8
35.9
0.12
97
Manchester United FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Leeds (H)
54.7
4.0%
12.6%
33.5%
72.2
23.9
36.1
0.14
98
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Coventry City (H)
54.7
7.6%
17.3%
33.8%
76.9
17.2
40.9
0.27
99
Liverpool FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Brentford (H)
54.6
8.9%
18.5%
34.1%
78.5
9.9
43.1
0.37
100
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Crystal Palace (H)
54.6
8.1%
17.6%
33.4%
77.4
11.1
42.4
0.35
101
Coventry City FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Spurs (H)
54.5
11.4%
20.5%
34.6%
82.0
1.6
47.5
0.60
102
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Liverpool (H)
54.4
11.0%
20.4%
35.2%
81.4
3.4
46.3
0.56
103
Chelsea FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Everton (H)
54.4
5.0%
13.7%
32.0%
73.4
18.0
38.8
0.25
109
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Nott'm Forest (H)
54.1
3.1%
10.6%
29.4%
70.6
8.2
45.0
0.43
111
Fulham FC · 3/6 starts
DEF
Hull City (H)
53.9
5.5%
14.2%
31.1%
73.9
19.1
39.3
0.24
112
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Arsenal (H)
53.9
12.8%
21.2%
33.9%
84.6
5.3
47.7
0.61
113
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Coventry City (H)
53.8
4.6%
12.8%
29.4%
72.7
14.3
38.3
0.19
114
Brentford FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Liverpool (H)
53.7
9.3%
18.5%
33.1%
79.0
11.0
43.6
0.39
115
Manchester United FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Leeds (H)
53.6
6.8%
15.4%
30.9%
75.4
8.3
40.3
0.25
117
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
MID
Bournemouth (H)
53.5
9.2%
18.0%
32.6%
78.8
15.5
43.9
0.41
120
Fulham FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Hull City (H)
53.5
7.2%
16.2%
31.6%
76.2
19.5
41.1
0.31
123
Arsenal FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Nott'm Forest (H)
53.4
3.1%
10.2%
27.3%
70.2
16.7
39.0
0.20
124
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Leeds (H)
53.3
8.9%
17.6%
32.0%
78.3
8.2
44.2
0.43
127
Sunderland AFC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Bournemouth (H)
53.2
8.0%
16.8%
31.8%
77.1
13.8
40.5
0.28
128
AFC Bournemouth · 5/6 starts
MID
Sunderland (H)
53.2
5.5%
14.0%
30.5%
73.9
19.4
39.6
0.22
129
Chelsea FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Everton (H)
53.2
11.1%
20.0%
33.6%
81.7
6.2
47.9
0.63
130
Manchester City FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Ipswich Town (H)
53.1
3.2%
10.6%
28.2%
70.5
10.1
44.8
0.45
131
Manchester United FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Leeds (H)
53.1
3.9%
11.4%
28.1%
71.3
15.7
36.2
0.06
133
Crystal Palace FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Brighton (H)
53.0
2.8%
10.1%
28.2%
70.1
17.6
41.5
0.34
136
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Coventry City (H)
52.9
4.9%
12.9%
28.8%
72.9
14.9
38.2
0.15
139
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Leeds (H)
52.8
8.8%
17.4%
31.4%
78.1
9.7
45.7
0.50
143
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Liverpool (H)
52.7
6.9%
15.3%
30.2%
75.6
13.8
42.5
0.35
144
Manchester City FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Ipswich Town (H)
52.7
6.8%
15.4%
30.4%
75.5
10.2
41.5
0.30
148
Brentford FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Liverpool (H)
52.5
7.1%
15.7%
30.7%
76.0
19.8
41.3
0.31
155
Aston Villa FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Newcastle (H)
52.0
5.2%
12.8%
27.4%
72.9
13.0
41.0
0.28
159
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Nott'm Forest (H)
51.8
6.8%
14.4%
28.4%
74.8
17.3
43.7
0.40
160
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Liverpool (H)
51.7
10.8%
18.8%
31.2%
81.3
-2.7
48.3
0.64
161
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Crystal Palace (H)
51.7
7.6%
16.0%
30.0%
76.4
4.0
42.2
0.35
162
Aston Villa FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Newcastle (H)
51.6
7.3%
15.3%
28.9%
75.8
8.7
42.3
0.33
166
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
51.6
5.0%
12.3%
26.5%
72.4
13.4
40.5
0.26
168
Coventry City FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Spurs (H)
51.5
9.2%
16.8%
29.4%
78.6
7.6
45.8
0.52
169
Crystal Palace FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Brighton (H)
51.5
6.2%
14.0%
27.8%
74.3
14.7
41.1
0.29
171
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Coventry City (H)
51.4
4.7%
11.9%
25.7%
71.9
17.5
39.8
0.24
172
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Fulham (H)
51.3
10.4%
18.0%
30.3%
80.8
2.2
47.3
0.59
173
Manchester United FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Leeds (H)
51.3
2.8%
9.0%
23.6%
68.9
13.9
36.2
0.06
175
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Leeds (H)
51.3
3.5%
10.4%
25.4%
70.4
20.6
36.3
0.18
177
Leeds United FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Man Utd (H)
51.2
3.5%
10.1%
24.2%
70.1
18.3
39.4
0.22
178
Ipswich Town FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Man City (H)
51.2
3.5%
10.0%
24.5%
70.0
10.4
38.1
0.17
180
Coventry City FC · 3/6 starts
FWD
Spurs (H)
51.0
8.3%
15.7%
28.4%
77.1
2.3
45.8
0.51
181
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Hull City (H)
50.9
6.8%
14.0%
27.4%
74.7
5.9
43.9
0.43
182
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man City (H)
50.9
3.5%
9.8%
22.5%
69.8
13.6
37.8
0.15
183
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
50.8
8.0%
15.3%
28.1%
76.7
7.1
45.6
0.50
184
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Aston Villa (H)
50.8
3.1%
9.2%
22.6%
69.1
13.6
37.7
0.16
185
Nottingham Forest FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
50.7
2.1%
7.6%
22.4%
67.6
14.5
35.0
0.02
187
Brentford FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Liverpool (H)
50.7
6.6%
14.1%
27.1%
74.6
4.2
42.7
0.36
195
Liverpool FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Brentford (H)
50.5
3.2%
9.5%
23.2%
69.6
21.6
37.8
0.17
198
Arsenal FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Nott'm Forest (H)
50.4
2.4%
7.9%
21.0%
67.7
16.4
36.0
0.07
201
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
FWD
Sunderland (H)
50.3
8.8%
16.2%
28.4%
78.1
5.8
45.8
0.55
207
Ipswich Town FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Man City (H)
50.0
7.0%
14.1%
26.2%
75.0
2.8
44.3
0.44
208
Chelsea FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Everton (H)
49.9
2.6%
8.3%
21.2%
68.1
18.3
36.6
0.10
212
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Hull City (H)
49.7
2.0%
7.5%
21.0%
67.5
9.2
43.3
0.40
213
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Coventry City (H)
49.7
2.4%
8.0%
21.7%
67.9
17.3
34.8
0.03
217
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Hull City (H)
49.5
3.6%
9.7%
21.9%
69.6
12.0
38.6
0.17
219
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
49.5
2.2%
7.4%
19.8%
67.0
15.9
37.2
0.12
222
Liverpool FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Brentford (H)
49.4
6.8%
13.4%
25.3%
74.3
1.0
44.7
0.45
226
Coventry City FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Spurs (H)
49.3
3.0%
8.8%
21.5%
68.7
14.2
38.3
0.15
227
AFC Bournemouth · 4/6 starts
MID
Sunderland (H)
49.2
3.8%
10.0%
22.6%
70.0
11.0
39.0
0.19
230
Liverpool FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Brentford (H)
49.1
3.4%
9.3%
21.8%
69.1
14.5
38.4
0.20
231
Fulham FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Hull City (H)
49.1
7.1%
13.7%
25.9%
74.9
-0.7
45.6
0.51
233
Ipswich Town FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Man City (H)
49.1
5.0%
11.5%
23.7%
71.8
9.0
41.8
0.31
236
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Fulham (H)
48.9
2.3%
7.1%
18.5%
66.7
12.9
37.3
0.12
237
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Aston Villa (H)
48.9
3.0%
8.8%
21.3%
68.6
13.1
37.0
0.11
239
Chelsea FC · 5/6 starts
GK
Everton (H)
48.8
2.4%
7.9%
20.9%
67.8
9.2
40.5
0.28
241
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Man Utd (H)
48.8
5.4%
11.9%
23.7%
72.1
13.4
41.2
0.30
242
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man Utd (H)
48.8
2.5%
7.8%
19.7%
67.5
16.9
38.6
0.19
245
Chelsea FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Everton (H)
48.7
5.9%
12.3%
24.0%
73.0
7.0
42.8
0.35
246
Ipswich Town FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Man City (H)
48.7
3.2%
9.2%
21.4%
69.0
22.4
38.2
0.16
247
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Crystal Palace (H)
48.6
1.8%
6.2%
17.0%
65.5
13.6
36.4
0.07
252
Arsenal FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Nott'm Forest (H)
48.5
2.1%
6.8%
18.2%
66.4
12.4
36.9
0.10
255
Liverpool FC · 3/6 starts
FWD
Brentford (H)
48.4
5.9%
12.5%
24.2%
73.1
6.7
43.8
0.41
257
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Man Utd (H)
48.3
1.8%
6.5%
18.6%
66.1
13.8
37.0
0.13
259
Newcastle United FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
48.3
5.3%
11.6%
23.1%
71.9
7.6
42.5
0.38
261
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Man Utd (H)
48.3
7.4%
14.0%
25.3%
75.4
-2.2
50.3
0.75
263
Liverpool FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Brentford (H)
48.2
2.7%
7.8%
19.2%
67.5
5.4
38.4
0.16
264
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
GK
Sunderland (H)
48.2
1.4%
5.7%
17.5%
65.3
7.0
41.4
0.30
267
Coventry City FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Spurs (H)
48.2
2.1%
6.9%
18.1%
66.4
16.3
37.9
0.15
271
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
FWD
Sunderland (H)
48.1
4.5%
10.3%
21.8%
70.3
3.4
43.6
0.39
272
Liverpool FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Brentford (H)
48.1
1.4%
5.7%
17.1%
65.1
7.2
38.5
0.20
275
Crystal Palace FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Brighton (H)
48.0
4.4%
10.4%
22.0%
70.5
14.2
38.9
0.25
278
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Arsenal (H)
47.8
1.5%
5.7%
17.0%
65.0
8.8
37.7
0.15
279
Liverpool FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Brentford (H)
47.8
4.3%
10.2%
21.7%
70.2
8.1
41.7
0.31
280
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
DEF
Sunderland (H)
47.8
2.6%
7.8%
19.2%
67.4
23.9
38.2
0.20
282
AFC Bournemouth · 6/6 starts
DEF
Sunderland (H)
47.3
2.4%
7.1%
17.7%
66.5
8.2
38.9
0.19
286
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Crystal Palace (H)
47.3
6.6%
13.1%
24.2%
74.2
-2.7
45.6
0.50
287
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Fulham (H)
47.2
2.1%
6.6%
17.1%
65.9
13.8
38.6
0.19
290
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Aston Villa (H)
47.2
1.5%
5.6%
16.4%
64.8
9.2
40.6
0.28
291
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Man City (H)
47.2
2.0%
6.4%
17.1%
65.7
8.5
36.7
0.09
292
Crystal Palace FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Brighton (H)
47.2
3.4%
8.6%
19.4%
68.3
9.7
39.4
0.20
297
Crystal Palace FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Brighton (H)
47.0
1.2%
4.9%
14.9%
63.7
12.0
37.5
0.14
301
Coventry City FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Spurs (H)
46.9
1.4%
5.3%
15.6%
64.3
1.6
38.4
0.20
304
Aston Villa FC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Newcastle (H)
46.8
5.6%
11.6%
22.0%
72.0
1.3
43.7
0.42
310
Coventry City FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Spurs (H)
46.7
1.6%
5.6%
15.0%
64.4
19.6
39.6
0.23
311
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Bournemouth (H)
46.6
2.9%
7.7%
18.0%
67.1
14.5
39.9
0.24
314
Aston Villa FC · 5/6 starts
GK
Newcastle (H)
46.6
1.7%
6.1%
16.8%
65.4
12.4
39.4
0.24
317
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 3/6 starts
FWD
Coventry City (H)
46.4
5.3%
10.9%
21.5%
71.3
1.2
44.2
0.43
321
Brighton & Hove Albion FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Crystal Palace (H)
46.3
1.1%
4.7%
14.6%
63.5
9.5
40.7
0.35
325
Newcastle United FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
46.2
4.7%
10.0%
20.3%
70.0
0.9
44.1
0.43
326
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Liverpool (H)
46.2
1.5%
5.6%
15.9%
64.7
10.8
37.2
0.22
328
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Coventry City (H)
46.1
3.0%
7.7%
17.9%
67.1
5.8
41.0
0.29
329
Coventry City FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Spurs (H)
46.1
1.7%
5.6%
14.9%
64.3
14.8
37.1
0.10
331
Newcastle United FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Aston Villa (H)
46.0
2.4%
6.9%
16.9%
66.2
10.4
38.9
0.21
333
Crystal Palace FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Brighton (H)
46.0
1.4%
4.9%
14.5%
63.7
11.2
36.7
0.08
334
Sunderland AFC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Bournemouth (H)
45.9
0.9%
4.0%
13.4%
62.5
10.9
36.7
0.12
335
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
MID
Bournemouth (H)
45.9
1.2%
4.6%
13.7%
63.1
11.6
37.0
0.10
336
Aston Villa FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Newcastle (H)
45.9
0.9%
4.0%
12.1%
61.9
5.1
36.1
0.07
337
Tottenham Hotspur FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Coventry City (H)
45.9
1.0%
4.3%
13.5%
62.9
5.7
44.0
0.42
338
Newcastle United FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
45.8
3.1%
7.8%
17.9%
67.1
6.8
41.0
0.28
339
Everton FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Chelsea (H)
45.8
2.7%
7.2%
17.1%
66.5
10.8
39.3
0.25
343
Nottingham Forest FC · 3/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
45.7
1.7%
5.4%
14.8%
64.2
13.1
38.1
0.18
347
Sunderland AFC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Bournemouth (H)
45.7
1.7%
5.9%
16.0%
65.0
9.3
36.1
0.15
355
Fulham FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Hull City (H)
45.4
0.7%
3.4%
11.5%
61.3
11.3
34.5
0.02
356
Coventry City FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Spurs (H)
45.4
2.8%
7.3%
16.9%
66.3
10.0
40.0
0.25
359
Hull City AFC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Fulham (H)
45.3
5.1%
10.5%
20.3%
70.7
11.3
43.6
0.41
361
Sunderland AFC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Bournemouth (H)
45.2
1.6%
5.4%
14.8%
64.1
13.0
37.8
0.17
363
Brentford FC · 3/6 starts
MID
Liverpool (H)
45.1
1.6%
5.2%
14.1%
63.6
6.5
36.8
0.08
365
Aston Villa FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Newcastle (H)
45.0
1.7%
5.4%
14.2%
63.7
6.3
37.1
0.13
367
Coventry City FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Spurs (H)
44.9
3.1%
7.6%
17.2%
66.8
8.0
39.6
0.22
371
Everton FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Chelsea (H)
44.8
0.9%
4.1%
12.6%
62.2
12.1
36.3
0.09
372
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man City (H)
44.7
1.5%
4.9%
13.2%
63.0
5.7
37.3
0.13
376
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Liverpool (H)
44.5
2.4%
6.5%
15.4%
65.2
4.3
39.7
0.24
377
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man City (H)
44.5
1.8%
5.4%
14.1%
63.8
-0.0
37.4
0.14
378
Crystal Palace FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Brighton (H)
44.5
2.6%
6.8%
15.9%
65.6
9.5
39.4
0.22
382
Sunderland AFC · 5/6 starts
FWD
Bournemouth (H)
44.3
4.6%
9.4%
18.4%
69.1
3.2
44.0
0.45
383
Newcastle United FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Aston Villa (H)
44.3
1.5%
5.0%
13.5%
63.3
10.3
36.8
0.09
391
Manchester United FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Leeds (H)
44.2
0.9%
3.8%
12.0%
61.7
9.6
39.8
0.23
392
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Chelsea (H)
44.2
0.9%
3.7%
11.8%
61.6
6.3
38.5
0.22
398
Hull City AFC · 4/6 starts
MID
Fulham (H)
44.2
3.3%
7.6%
16.6%
66.6
6.0
40.7
0.28
399
Leeds United FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Man Utd (H)
44.2
1.2%
4.3%
12.4%
62.3
12.8
36.3
0.07
403
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Fulham (H)
44.1
1.6%
5.0%
13.3%
63.0
10.2
39.0
0.20
405
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Man City (H)
44.1
3.1%
7.3%
16.2%
66.2
3.2
40.9
0.28
433
Nottingham Forest FC · 5/6 starts
MID
Arsenal (H)
43.5
1.9%
5.4%
13.6%
63.6
10.7
38.6
0.17
436
Aston Villa FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Newcastle (H)
43.5
1.3%
4.5%
12.3%
62.2
3.9
37.4
0.12
439
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Man Utd (H)
43.4
2.0%
5.7%
14.1%
64.0
2.0
39.7
0.21
447
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
MID
Fulham (H)
43.2
1.3%
4.1%
11.6%
61.6
10.4
37.2
0.11
449
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Chelsea (H)
43.2
1.5%
4.7%
12.7%
62.6
7.1
38.6
0.17
451
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Arsenal (H)
43.0
2.3%
6.0%
14.0%
64.1
8.1
39.7
0.23
457
Hull City AFC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Fulham (H)
43.0
1.5%
4.7%
12.6%
62.6
8.5
38.0
0.20
465
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
GK
Fulham (H)
42.7
0.9%
3.7%
11.4%
61.3
1.6
38.2
0.20
467
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
GK
Bournemouth (H)
42.6
0.5%
2.6%
9.4%
59.4
4.1
37.9
0.20
469
Crystal Palace FC · 6/6 starts
MID
Brighton (H)
42.6
0.6%
2.7%
9.3%
59.3
12.1
35.3
0.03
481
Brentford FC · 5/6 starts
DEF
Liverpool (H)
42.4
1.3%
4.3%
11.8%
61.9
6.2
37.3
0.18
488
Leeds United FC · 6/6 starts
GK
Man Utd (H)
42.2
0.8%
3.3%
10.5%
60.4
6.5
39.7
0.24
489
AFC Bournemouth · 4/6 starts
FWD
Sunderland (H)
42.1
3.1%
6.9%
14.8%
65.2
2.3
42.6
0.35
506
Chelsea FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Everton (H)
41.8
0.6%
2.6%
8.9%
58.9
7.3
36.3
0.08
509
Aston Villa FC · 3/6 starts
DEF
Newcastle (H)
41.8
0.4%
2.3%
8.0%
57.9
5.9
36.6
0.10
511
Everton FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Chelsea (H)
41.8
4.0%
8.2%
15.9%
67.1
-0.4
43.7
0.40
524
Nottingham Forest FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Arsenal (H)
41.5
2.0%
5.1%
12.3%
62.5
1.7
39.6
0.21
528
Chelsea FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Everton (H)
41.4
1.5%
4.4%
11.4%
61.5
10.8
37.9
0.15
532
Hull City AFC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Fulham (H)
41.2
0.5%
2.2%
7.7%
57.6
6.9
36.9
0.10
538
Aston Villa FC · 4/6 starts
MID
Newcastle (H)
40.7
2.3%
5.5%
12.7%
63.1
2.0
41.5
0.31
542
Brentford FC · 6/6 starts
DEF
Liverpool (H)
40.4
0.3%
1.8%
6.6%
56.3
7.1
34.5
0.03
544
Sunderland AFC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Bournemouth (H)
40.0
2.1%
5.3%
12.2%
62.5
2.0
41.1
0.29
548
Ipswich Town FC · 4/6 starts
GK
Man City (H)
39.8
0.4%
1.9%
7.2%
57.0
7.1
36.4
0.11
550
Newcastle United FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Aston Villa (H)
39.4
2.2%
5.2%
11.8%
62.0
-4.5
41.9
0.32
551
Everton FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Chelsea (H)
39.4
0.7%
2.5%
7.9%
57.6
3.1
40.3
0.24
554
Ipswich Town FC · 6/6 starts
FWD
Man City (H)
38.9
2.7%
6.0%
12.5%
63.0
0.1
42.6
0.36
562
Brentford FC · 3/6 starts
DEF
Liverpool (H)
37.7
0.9%
2.8%
8.0%
57.7
13.9
39.8
0.24
563
Chelsea FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Everton (H)
37.7
0.3%
1.6%
6.2%
55.8
16.9
31.7
0.03
566
Coventry City FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Spurs (H)
37.5
0.5%
1.9%
6.3%
55.5
7.9
37.7
0.15
571
Nottingham Forest FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Arsenal (H)
36.9
0.3%
1.3%
5.1%
54.0
1.6
38.3
0.18
572
Crystal Palace FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Brighton (H)
36.9
1.3%
3.5%
8.5%
58.1
1.1
40.1
0.23
575
Nottingham Forest FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Arsenal (H)
36.6
0.7%
2.2%
6.5%
55.5
-1.4
38.1
0.14
581
Leeds United FC · 4/6 starts
DEF
Man Utd (H)
35.6
0.2%
1.1%
4.4%
53.2
3.7
33.8
0.02
584
Hull City AFC · 4/6 starts
MID
Fulham (H)
35.1
1.0%
2.9%
7.0%
55.9
-3.4
40.4
0.26
587
Everton FC · 4/6 starts
FWD
Chelsea (H)
31.8
0.8%
2.1%
5.4%
53.0
-4.4
40.0
0.23
Sorare outcome colours: fixed FME thresholds from weaker red/orange to stronger green.Action colours: position-relative rate intensity. Darker means a higher projected frequency, not necessarily a better action.
All projections assume the player starts. Projection is the simulation mean; P90 and the 60+/70+/80+ columns show the distribution around it. Projected actions are matchup-adjusted expected actions per 90.
Traditional DFS matchup analysis often compresses an opponent into something like “this team allows 8.3 All-Around points to midfielders”. That can be useful as a broad signal, but it treats very different players as if they attack the same matchup in the same way.
A central ball-winner, a high-volume passer and a wide creator may all be listed as midfielders while relying on completely different actions for their Sorare scores. Fantasy Matchup Edge models those action profiles separately, keeps role and channel context, and asks what this particular opponent tends to allow to the actions and player types that matter for each individual.
The model also accounts for the player's own ability, current role, team action supply, opponent-allowed tendencies and the wider expected match environment. Those pieces remain separate inputs rather than being collapsed into one crude matchup multiplier.
The FME difference
We do not ask whether the fixture is generically good for midfielders or defenders. We ask which actions the match is likely to create, where those opportunities are likely to fall by role and channel, and which individual players are best equipped to turn them into Sorare points.
Decisive score, All-Around score and upside
A headline Sorare projection can hide very different player profiles. One player may rely heavily on goals, assists and other decisive events, while another may build a large part of the same projected total through passing, creation, defending and possession work.
That is why the board keeps projected score alongside All-Around, projected decisive score and average decisives. The 60+, 70+, 80+ and P90 columns then show how the full score distribution behaves around that central expectation.
Explore the underlying action profile
Switching the board to attacking, creative or defensive actions does not create a different Sorare projection. The overall score stays the same; the table simply exposes more of the matchup-adjusted actions underneath it. Open any player profile to see the full projected action set and the model's WHY explanation where available.
What should you use the rankings for?
The rankings are designed to help identify the Premier League players whose individual matchup looks strongest for the upcoming Gameweek. They can surface obvious stars, but they should also make less obvious opportunities visible — for example, a player whose specific action profile fits what the opponent concedes even when the fixture looks unremarkable at team level.
The current Sorare projections answer the question “how is this player expected to score if they start?” Availability and likely line-ups should therefore be considered alongside the rankings.
Sorare projections: quick answers
Are these Sorare projections based on L5 or L15 averages?
No. Historical scores and current evidence help establish the player baseline, but the projection is rebuilt for the upcoming fixture using the player's action profile, role, team context, opponent tendencies and expected match environment.
What is the difference between projected score, AA and Decisive?
Projected score is the average final Sorare score across the simulations. AA isolates the expected All-Around component, while Decisive shows the model's expected score contribution from decisive scoring routes.
What does Avg DEC mean?
Avg DEC is the average number of positive decisive actions recorded per simulation. It measures expected decisive-event volume rather than the Sorare points generated by those events.
Do the projections assume the player starts?
Yes. They are conditional on the player starting and are not diluted by an estimated start probability.